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Coach Education · The Coaching Blueprint

Ten findings, ten ways to coach them

One page from our 2026 tour shot study: 35 winners against 313 players from the rest of the field, 1,173 rounds. The house rules are built around winning golf. Ranked by the strokes a round the rest of the field gives back to winners in that situation (they overlap, so they do not add up). Each finding ends in what to say, what to plan and what to practise. Current to house-rules-v17.2.

01 · Mistakes · 1.8 strokes a round

Fewer bogeys and doubles, by a wide margin

Bogeys a round: 1.4 vs 2.6. Strokes lost to doubles: 0.13 vs 0.72. Clutch Factor Putting (par saves from 5 ft and out): 58% vs 45%.

Say: winners don't just make more birdies; they take the big number out. Plan: the worst case on every tee is a bogey, never a double. Practise: par-save putts from 5–10 feet; review the doubles first.

02 · Birdie conversion · 1.1 strokes a round

When you get there, score

Greens hit turned into birdie or better: winners 42%, the field 33%.

Say: conversion shows whether the closer approach and the putter are working. Plan: read it first: low with long approaches = the irons, low with close approaches = the putter. Practise: one band at a time, the one with the most shots at stake.

03 · The reset hole · 0.7 strokes a round

Right the ship after a bogey

Another bogey after a bogey: winners 4%, the field 19%. Clutch Factor Response: no bogey in the next 3 holes, 81% vs 56%.

Say: the hole after a bogey or a double has one job, a par. Plan: the normal club, fully committed, the middle of the green. Practise: in practice rounds, after any bogey play the next hole to the middle and log the result.

04 · Par 5s · 0.7 strokes a round

On in three, the go when both tests clear

On in three or fewer: winners 90%, the field 83%. 40% of greens from about 240 yd.

Say: the par 5 is the one green almost everyone can hit in regulation. Plan: lay up from the fairway, as close as it allows; two dead zones for a lay-up, 40–74 and 121+. The go is the plan when 40% greens and a miss inside 40 both clear.

05 · Trouble · about 0.6 strokes a round

Keep the penalty off the card

Clutch Factor Ball Striking (par or better after trouble): winners 85%, the field 62%. Clutch Factor Damage Control (held to bogey): 98.5% vs 88.5%.

Say: a bad lie already cost the margin; don't pay twice. Plan: carry by 15 or lay back by 15; from a bad lie, the club back to a normal lie. Practise: recovery shots to a full-swing number, not the green.

06 · Inside 6 feet · 0.3 strokes a round

The short putt is sacred

From 3–6 ft, winners missed one in ten, the field about one in six. The house bar is every one.

Say: these are shots the player already owns. Plan: nothing further out matters while these leak. Practise: start every putting session inside 6 feet and don't move on until it holds.

07 · The start and the finish · a slice of every hole

Start level, stay patient

Over par after six holes: winners 9%, the field 27%. 19 of 32 winners started Sunday behind.

Say: you don't need the lead, you need the plan. Plan: the first six holes to start level or better, the low-stress option on every tee. Review: the first link that broke, not the score.

08 · Approach inside 40 feet · 0.2 strokes a round

Take the three-putt out

Three-putts start from 40 ft (winners 11%, field 15%); winners had none from 25 ft and in.

Say: for most golfers, inside 40 feet is a great shot. Plan: aim at the part of the green that leaves 40 feet or less, not the tucked flag. Practise: from 40 ft, finish inside a tenth of the putt.

09 · Short par 4s · 0.1 strokes a round

Drive it close when the miss is clear

340 yd and in, tee shot on or inside 40 yd: −0.74 a hole vs −0.26 laying back (winners).

Say: inside 40 yards is a good result. Plan: the player's call when no water or out of bounds is in play; laying back to their best band stays the plan otherwise. Practise: 20–40 yard pitches to inside 6 feet.

10 · The week · the frame for the other nine

It is the week, not the talent

The same winners in other weeks: another bogey after a bogey 16%, penalties 0.33 a round.

Say: the discipline is the difference, and discipline can be coached. Plan: the same plan on Thursday and Sunday. Track: the reset-hole count on the player page, round after round.

Our own players: a bogey followed by another bogey 18% of the time, the same as the field. Finding 03, the reset hole, is the first thing to coach from the scorecard alone. Every number is from our study; no player is named and a tour number is never a reason to lower a standard.